Sunday, August 14, 2011

Mixing Up The Numbers

Listen carefully. The news media and advertising agencies who make political ads have been doing this for years.

Which would you rather have, 25% or even 50% of $1,000 or 10% or even 1% of 10 million dollars.  The number, in communication, is the big thing or key element.  The media or speaker doesn't want you to focus on the element % or raw number.  If I want you to think it's no big deal I put in a modifier, like "only" or "as many as", or "over".  These are just clever communication/propaganda linguistic techniques. "Only" 1% of the population reads at least one book a year. Or, "Did you know that over 3 million people read a book a year or more in the United States"?  Fact: if that were actually  true that wouldn't be that many people when you consider the a total population of 307,000,000+.  But how about this:  "Only" 1% of the U.S. population reads at least one book a year compared to Canada where the rate is 3%"  With a population of "Just" 34,000,000 that means only 340,000 Canadians read 1 or more books a year.

So, the point is this: to really make ANY sense of media numbers, you need to have some idea what the raw number is or the base that the percent refers to*, and you have to listen carefully when the media presenters mix raw numbers and percent because when they do that you are being intellectually manipulated.

(* "...to which the percent refers.", for those of you who prefer correct grammar).

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